The OBR’s forecast relies on households saving less so they can keep spending, but with little in the bank, most will have to borrow instead. Our measure of household debt burdens shows that this leaves households little to spare. Plausible shocks could push debt stress back to the levels seen before the financial crisis.

‘Financial inclusion’ should help people withstand financial shocks, not deepen them. Yet the current agenda focuses overwhelmingly on increasing access to credit per se, rather than on credit that people can genuinely afford.

The stock of outstanding consumer credit is at an all-time high. But relative to gross household incomes the ratio is falling. In this blog we take a deep dive into the data, highlighting why aggregate measures are misleading, and reporting on the shocking severity of the consumer credit debt burden being experienced by low income households.

Today’s announcement that the energy price cap is to rise by 80%, risks a 'Winter of Despair' for low to middle income households. Radical action is now needed to hold down prices, and protect those with prepayment meters in their homes.

The Bank of England's latest Financial Stability Review uses a new measure of household debt burdens, designed to take account of cost-of-living pressures. We provide our assessment, arguing for greater transparency concerning its method of calculation. At present, the Bank may be underplaying the financial stability risks associated with household debt and further interest rate rises could compound this further.

As the cost-of-living crisis deepens, Executive Director, Damon Gibbons, questions whether credit expansion to households is part of the solution, or whether it would be better to extend help to service providers in return for commitments to keep prices down.

The House of Lords will this week debate an amendment to the Financial Services Bill to ensure a “fair debt-write down” is incorporated within Government’s plans for a Statutory Debt Repayment Plan.

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